Sazonalidade de preços de frutas e hortaliças-fruto produzidas no Ceará com maior volume de comercialização na Ceasa-CE

Abstract

The study on the behavior of fruit prices is a preponderant factor for better planning of agricultural production, indicating to producers the best periods to start cultivating or stocking a certain product, thus improving logistics and economic efficiency. of the activity. In this sense, the objective was to analyze the seasonality of the crops with the highest volume sold in Ceasa-CE, Sede Maracanaú, from Ceará, evaluating the behavior of the prices of such crops in the State. As a source of information, we used the history of volumes sold and prices available on the Ceasa-CE website. Based on this source, the crops with the highest volume of commercialization were found, whose origin was the state of Ceará, which were the silver banana and pacovan, the papaya formosa and hawaii, the long-lived tomato and cajá and the pepper. The period analyzed for all cultures covers the years 2010 to 2019. In possession of historical prices, proceeding to the deflation of the values verified based on the IGP-DI calculated by FGV, base of December 2019. Use was made the centralized moving average method to identify the seasonal indices of the crops, establishing the periods of harvests and off-seasons. Most of the crops presented periods of off-season predominant in the first semester of the year, during the months of March, April, May and June, this being the result of the rainy season as the higher humidity at that time favors the appearance of pests.