Como as variáveis eleitorais impactam os indicadores de desenvolvimento municipal

Abstract

For the decentralizations of the state competence in a minicipal level, wich won featured after the Federal Constitution of 1988, the present work are looking-for contribute with the analyzes of the government performance in a local level identifying the relation between the development of the municipal public politics with the incentives provides by the election. Thus, the present work will look for identify the relation between the election variables on the development of the local public politics, considering for that the government management elected in 2004, 2008 and 2012, with the sample of 5013 Brazilian cities. Considering as parameter for the measurement of the municipal development the indicators of Firjan, and for the explanatory variables of the model the result of the elections in the perspective of: reelection; party ideology; party alignment between the government levels; and the personal characteristics of the municipal manager. Highlighting the result obtained the indication of the reelection of the candidate has a positive relation with the development of the city and the ideology of the mayor only presents some meaningfulness statistic in aspects of the development of the education politics. When that ideology being assumed by the city councilmen show itself one relevant factor for all the analysis develop, presenting as that the left ideology in the legislative power has a positive relation with the municipal development. And still stands out that the only electoral variable who shows a negative association with the municipal indicator was the party alignment between the mayor and the governor.