Análise de riscos no planejamento de projetos de edificações com enfoque multicritério

Abstract

Building design them, by their nature they are unique, often complex and are always accompanied by risks and uncertainties. Since these projects involve large investments, it is necessary a good project management for the information on the uncertainties are acquired and managed so as to not have negative consequences on the objectives. However, for the Construction Industry, even before the various existing adversities in this sector, causing it to position itself as a sector with low performance, risk management is still a subject matter in a very superficial and often ignored by managers . This makes the decision-making process is deficient and based on information that often are not compatible with the actual scenarios. In this context, it is essential that the decision-making process is structured based on key information, scenarios, options and the consequences of those decisions. The objective of this work is to propose an evaluation model uncertainties in the planning stage of buildings, based on multi-criteria method to support decision-making - MAUT (Multiple Attribute Utility Theory), to assist the manager in decision making. Through MAUT, it was possible to prioritization of uncertainties and this method was very effective for solving this kind of problem to have based on the preferences of the decision maker and allow to make a deeper assessment of the compensation that the decision maker should be established between the conflicting criteria.