Análise de Solvência do Regime Próprio de Previdência Social do Estado do Ceará – 2003 a 2012

Abstract

An ongoing and central concern of large parts of the social sciences is that there are certain issues in which establishing a rigorous consensus is imperative, for instance, as concerns social security of civil servants from Ceará state. This concern is especially significant regarding the Federal Government expenditures and its persistent budget deficits. Of course, Ceará government is by no means alone. And there is considerable added complexity in finding solutions to the Federal system as a whole, with regard to the servant security which greatly affects the public debt. Over 100,000 public servants (active and inactive) are currently protected by this system. This work seeks to shed lights on the real social security system from Ceará state, making use of the so-called solvency ratios which will be applied to the system in question. Further, one makes use of econometric models that measure its sustainability taking into account 2003-2012 years. The results demonstrate that the debt incurred by “cearense” pension system is technically manageable.