Avaliação de impacto e formulação de modelo para política educacional

Abstract

Due to the worldwide recognition of the importance attached to education as a major engine of growth, and the wide range of impacts carried out by the different educational policies, investigating basic education has been kept active on the agenda of researchers in the pursuit of the development of theoretical and empirical research, as well as alternative treatment approaches. Economic Science has contributed significantly to new methodological approaches in the relationship between ideas and implementation of empirical analysis, through extensive use of mathematical explanatory models. Inspired by this, this paper hopes to contribute to the debate by formulating a mathematical model that seeks to solve some deadlocks incurred in several empirical analyzes. This model was empirically applied through two distinct approaches, which identified new factors explaining the quality of education. Firstly, it was investigated the schooling factors that dictate the differences in the scores of the “Prova Brazil of 2011” for public schools based upon the Theil-L index. Secondly, an impact evaluation of a specific educational policy was performed through a Synthetic Control Method, which pointed for the effectiveness of such policy. It is expected that the developed model contributes to the debate about alternative impact mechanisms caused by education policies.