Auxílio-Reclusão do Regime Geral de Previdência Social e população carcerária no Brasil: um estudo quantitativo de 2000 a 2012

Abstract

The study object of this monograph is the Aid-Solitude of the General Social Security Regime, whose ignorance of their fundamentals and requirements has generated outrage in the general population, the point of this be often be called "bandit bag". This issue is relevant at a time when Brazil accumulates 136% increase in the prison population, from 2000 to 2012, according to the National Penitentiary Department of the Ministry of Justice, while the social security expenses that aid grew 756% in the same period of according to the National Institute of Social Security of the Ministry of Social Security. This information fostered the central question of this research: to what extent the expenditure of social security with the AidSolitude follows the evolution of the prison population? Therefore, this monograph, documentary, bibliographical and explanatory character, aimed to investigate the relationship of the development of Solitude of payments with the evolution of the prison population from 2000 to 2012 in Brazil. Through a quantitative and statistical analysis and the use of the Software R, set a simple linear regression model and the calculation of elasticity. The results point to the existence of a positive correlation of 94% between the increase in the prison population and the increase in social security costs of the General Regime with the AidSolitude and the linear approximation of the elasticity arc calculation shows that, for each one, 0% increase in prison population there is an increase of 2.1% in social security expenditure on aid-Solitude of the General Regime, indicating an inelastic relationship between these variables.