Determinantes socioeconômicos da dinâmica de fertilidade no Nordeste brasileiro utilizando a base de dados da PCSVDF Mulher

Abstract

The human fertility depends of one long list of factors, including health, nutrition, sexual behavior, culture, endocrinology, time, economy, life style and emotions. Fertility rates are different between the countries and cultures because these factors are variable. Due to the influence of several elements that changes the dynamics of fertility, this paper has as proposal to determinate the dynamics of women fertility in the Brazilian Northeast through the Analisys of Categorical Sequences, in order to delineate existing patterns and identify their variations. In this way, starting of the socioeconomic/demographic and cultural variables, and informations of fertility dynamics, the Multinomial logistc model was applied with the objective of obtainig more prepoderant variables about each situation outlined. With the utilization of the sampled database of PCSV DF Woman, referring to women from the capitals of the states of Brazilian Northeast. In view of this, we found 4 well-defined groups, which presented differences in relation to Race, Income, Age, Religion and Schooling. The strong predictor of fertility dynamics is women’s level of education. The highest levels of schooling corresponds to the lowers fertility rates.