Relação do Índice de Situação Previdenciária (ISP-RPPS) e indicadores socioeconômicos dos municípios brasileiros

Abstract

The RPPS are key to the fiscal sustainability and in ensuring social protection for municipal public servants. The need to evaluate their performance motivated the creation of the Social Security Situation Index (ISP-RPPS) by the Secretariat of Social Security of the Brazilian Min-istry of Social Security. However, its isolated analysis may not capture the structural conditions of municipalities. In this context, it is relevant to investigate the relationship between ISP-RPPS results and socioeconomic variables. From a methodological perspective, this is a quantitative, descriptive, and exploratory study, based on document and statistical analysis. The data sources included the ISP-RPPS published by the Secretariat of Social Security for the years 2019 to 2024 and socioeconomic indicators provided by IBGE. Descriptive statistics were applied to characterize the sample, correlation analysis techniques were used to verify relationships be-tween variables, and graphical representation was employed to observe spatial patterns. The results show that municipalities with higher levels of socioeconomic development tend to per-form better in the ISP-RPPS. This finding reinforces the hypothesis that pension management capacity is associated with the municipality’s economic and social structure. On the other hand, in small municipalities, the existence of RPPS does not necessarily translate into financial sus-tainability, suggesting that institutional and technical factors also exert strong influence. The study highlights that the analysis of the ISP-RPPS must be contextualized within local devel-opment conditions and that integrated public policies linking social security and regional de-velopment are essential to strengthen the solvency of these regimes. Thus, the main contribution of this study lies in the analysis of the interassociation between socioeconomic indicators and pension management indicators, which may become a tool for assessing sustainability and ad-equacy and to enable the development of public policies directed at the area.