O papel da indústria de transformação para a economia cearense segundo a ótica kaldoriana de crescimento

Abstract

This study aims to verify whether Kaldor's growth laws (1966) are valid to consider the manufacturing industry as the economic growth engine of Ceará in the recent period. The study verified the relations between the growth of manufacturing output and GDP (1st Kaldor Law) and between the growth of labor productivity in manufacturing industry and manufacturing output (2nd Kaldor Law) of Ceará during the 1997-2016 period. In sequence, the study examined the dynamics of the manufacturing industry productivity through the shift-share analysis and the evolution of manufacturing exports by the industrial sectors and their respective technological intensities. The results revealed that, even in a context of loss of participation of the industrial sector in parallel with the growth of the service sector in the economy of Ceará, the manufacturing industry still plays a key role in the state’s economic growth trajectories.