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http://repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/54745
Type: | Artigo de Evento |
Title: | Apoio à tomada de decisão em investimentos em poços de petróleo – utilização da metodologia de envoltória de dados na seleção de projetos |
Authors: | Ferreira Júnior, Antônio Oleon Camelo Pereira, Mariana Paulinia Bento Ponte, Vitor Moreira da Rocha |
Keywords: | Poços de petróleo;Indústria de Petróleo e Gás - Investimentos de capital;Investimentos - Análise;Estudos de viabilidade |
Issue Date: | 2011 |
Citation: | FERREIRA JÚNIOR, Antônio Oleon Camelo; PEREIRA, Mariana Paulinia Bento; PONTE, Vitor Moreira da Rocha. Apoio à tomada de decisão em investimentos em poços de petróleo – utilização da metodologia de envoltória de dados na seleção de projetos. In: CONGRESSO BRASILEIRO DE PESQUISA E DESENVOLVIMENTO EM PETRÓLEO E GÁS, 06º., 09 a 13 out. 2011, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina, Brasil. Anais[…] Florianópolis, Santa Catarina, 2011. |
Abstract in Brazilian Portuguese: | The aim of this work is to build an integrated model to support a make a decision to be used by the oil industry up-stream of the interventions applied in oil wells in order to rationalize the use of resources, maximizing the expected economic return. The proposed model is developed in Excel platform and consists of two modules: i) module of Economic Viability and ii) module for ranking of projects by data envelopment. In the first module, the data of variables of oil well, variable costs and time of the probe and the economic variables are arranged in a triangular probability distribution. It was used the Monte Carlo method to simulate ten thousand different scenarios and to quantify probabilistically the results. The second module it was used the means of the probabilistic outcomes of the Economic Viability as inputs for data envelopment analysis. Here we used Excel's Solver to solve the model of data envelopment and thus set the notes to the wells. The analysis of these notes allows the ordination of projects in good or bad in terms of economic return. The methodology presented in this work has yielded good results. The worksheet is automated with VBA programming, which makes this tool very agile in delivering results. |
URI: | http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/54745 |
Appears in Collections: | DEQ - Trabalhos apresentados em eventos |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
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2011_eve_aocferreirajúnior.pdf | 797,36 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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