Aspectos sócioeconômicos e climáticos que impactam a ocorrência de dengue no Brasil: análise municipal de 2008 a 2011 por regressões quantílicas para dados em painel

Abstract

This work investigates the relationship between socioeconomic and climatic variables on the incidence of dengue in Brazil, for the years 2008 to 2011 in Brazilian municipalities. through an econometrics methodology of quantile regressions for panel data, proposed by Koenker (2004). Preliminary results indicate that the main socioeconomic variables that impact dengue cases are expenditures on basic sanitation and population density, with negative and positive impacts, respectively, for all levels of quantiles. Already as main climatic variables that impact the occurrence of dengue are a maximum temperature, rains and humidity, with increasing impacts on quantiles. The work corroborates with the literature, reinforcing a relationship of dengue cases with socioeconomic and climatic indicators, however, presents this relation on the quantiles of dengue cases.