Modelagem da demanda e oferta como ferramenta na análise e planejamento de um sistema de transportes

Abstract

Postmodern Cities in developing are a residential destination for many people. It is essential to combine population and economic growth of the city with the provision of a quality transport system that meets the needs of traveling of users in the present and in the future. In this context, modeling emerges as a tool for projection of a future scenario, enabling the realization of a plan that identifies the needs for infrastructure implementations in the present road network in order to achieve the future scenario with quality. The results obtained from the use of this tool enable an evaluation of economic viability that can allocate investments in one transport mode over another. In this study, this tool was used to evaluate the limitations of the existing road network in the city Pontal, when projected to a horizon of 20 years in the future, allowing visualize the consequences through economic indicators and duration of travel, of both investments on the motorized mode, and the not motorized mode. The generated model showed that, economically, it is more profitable to invest in the implementation of bike lanes and encouraging the use of a non-motorized vehicle, however, the annual economic benefit is greater when investing in the capacity adequacy for roads that serve motorized mode as the project horizon increases.