Características sociodemográficas associadas à probabilidade de reincidência das infrações de trânsito por motociclistas

Abstract

This paper made an empirical analysis based on traffic violations recorded in type vehicle registration motorcycles and the like up to 125cc, occurred in the state of Ceará, in the period 2010 to 2013. The objective was to assess sociodemographic characteristics that contribute to increase the occurrence of repeated traffic violations by motorcyclists, according to variables such as gender, age and time of qualification, and; motorization rate and its implication in traffic flow in Ceará municipalities. For this, we used the logit econometric model, whose database has been provided by the State Department of Motor Vehicles – DETRAN-CE and the Institute of Economic Research and Strategy of Ceará - IPECE. What was observed in the state of Ceará, is that the results support the evidence of the international literature: the repeat traffic offenders are mostly young and male, which indicates the need for preventive policies, including these specific population groups. In addition, the driver's condition indicates that the more experienced riders, or longer clearance, are the ones who are more likely to recur. For the estimations about the motorization rate, the results suggest that drivers who are in municipalities with motorization rates above the 20% reference rate are more likely to re-offend in traffic violations.