Análise da qualidade do crescimento econômico nos estados brasileiros de 1995 a 2008: quão elásticos são os indicadores de pobreza com relação ao crescimento?

Abstract

This article proposes to estimate the growth elasticity of poverty and inequality of poverty and decompose the change in the poverty of its main determinants: growth and poverty. So, we followed a similar methodology in Besley, Burgess and Volart (2005). We used the information from PNAD's for the years 1995 to 2007, except 2000, for measures of poverty FGT(0), FGT(1) and FGT(2), with data in the panel for 27 units of the federation in Brazil. Specification tests point to an estimation with elasticities varying between states. The results indicate a large inter-state disparities in growth elasticities of poverty, where the units of the federation are also the less wealthy who have lower growth elasticity of poverty. The decomposition of poverty variation indicates only the units of the federation AP, RJ, RR, RS and SP showed elasticity effect of growth above the national average, together with further growth of national income on average (for FGT(0)). Furthermore, BA, CE, MA, MS, MT, PB, PI, RN, SE and TO show elasticity growth below the national average in conjunction with lower growth in income on the national average (for FGT(0)). Very similar result is found for FGT(1) and FGT(2).