Modelo de equilíbrio geral computável para a economia cearense com mercado de trabalho flexível e diferenciado

Abstract

The simulation of shocks and interventions in the economy points to the use of computable general equilibrium (CGE) models. To better adapt this instrument to the regional economic reality of Ceara, it is vital to consider the difference between families and the duality of labor, production and consumption markets in terms of occupation: formal and informal. This work therefore comes to interpret the allocation of the labor force considering the duality through the Lewis Model; characterize income, consumption and production by occupation and sectors; construct an CGE model with the information collected and apply an exemplary shock to simulate the drought period faced by the semi-arid region of Ceara. The data survey revealed the disparity between occupations in remuneration, labor allocation, fixed capital and consumer preference. The simulated shock resulted in an increase in the opportunity cost of informality, making inputs reallocate through price from industry to informal services and agriculture.