Fatores determinantes dos crimes contra o patrimônio na região metropolitana de Fortaleza: um enfoque da economia do crime

Abstract

This work attempts to provide empirical evidence to analyze the phenomenon of crime in the Metropolitan Area of Fortaleza. As a methodology, Pooled, Fixed Effects and Random Effects estimation techniques were used. The data arranged were obtained through primary sources, namely: municipal portals, Sistema de Informações Contábeis e Fiscais do Setor Público Brasileiro (SICONFI), Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE) e Superintendência de Pesquisa e Estratégia de Segurança Pública (SUPESP/SSPDS/CE). The research sample is composed of the socioeconomic indicators of the Integrated Public Security Areas of Grande Fortaleza in the years 2015 to 2019 to form the explanations of the bimesters of the years 2016 to 2020. As a result, the seizure of weapons represents a positive cause for the number of property crimes, reinforcing the idea that the feeling of insecurity caused by crimes increases the circulation of weapons. On the other hand, population density and occupancy rate negatively impact crimes against property.