Análise de risco para concessão de outorga em rios, sujeitos a lançamentos de efluentes - uma abordagem fuzzy

Abstract

This research developed a methodology, based on application of fuzzy theory in the pollutant transport models, to study the fuzzy risk of contamination, in awarding grants for discharge of effluents into rivers. In such way, the differential equations of the transport model are transformed into fuzzy differential equations, so that, the field of concentrations, represented by the mathematical model is transformed into fields of concentration membership functions. For the accomplishment of the simulations a computational program, in FORTRAN language, was developed, that gave support in the obtaining of the results for the most several proposed sceneries. The results have shown that the fuzzy theory can become a safe alternative to help control pollution of rivers in general, providing, in such way, subsidies for resources management.