Impacto dos investimentos na agropecuária sobre a geração de produto, emprego, renda, impostos e importações no estado do Ceará

Abstract

This reseach has as general objective to analysis the impacts of the politics of invesdtments in the arolivestock on the other sectors of the Ceará economy. For só much, it sought to measure the impacts of the variation in the final demand of the agrolivestock on the product generatiion, employment, income, taxes and imports. The data used in this workwere obtained starting from the model input-product, considering the productive structure of 1999. Beside, it was effected the aggregation of the economical sectors according to the homogeneity degree of the activities of each one, turning possible to gather them in six macrosectors. However only four of them received the shock of R$ 1 million in the respective final demands, being them: agricultural, civl building, industry and services. Soon after, a comparative analysis among the results obtained by the agrolivestock macrosector and for the others took place. The conclusions verified starting from the results reinforce the importance of the agrolivestock for the State economy in terms of product generations and of employment, getting the attention for the multiplier character of the investiments expansion turned to this macrosector. On the other hand, the fragility of the economy from Ceará while generator of income was verified, given the variation in the final demand of the agrolivestock, strengthening the need of formulating politics returned for the referred macrosector. It was noticed although that the economy of Ceará concentrates on the agricultural one of the largest portions of busy people in the low revenue classes, besides these being the predominance of the informality in the work relationships of the agrrolivestock. In terms of generations of taxes, the economy of Ceará exhibited the reduced capacity to generate substantial increases in the amount of taxes, with the enlargement of the investments in the agrolivestock. These results can suggest the need of larger support for the referred macrosector, on the part of the government, specially in relation to the small producers. This would increase the effectiveness of the agricultural politics in relation to the product generation and employment and would elevate the collection of taxes in the referred macrosector. For the generation of imports, the high capacity of generation of imports on the part of the economy of Ceará was verified, with the increase in the investments applied in the agrolivestock, being able to represent a sign of the fragility of the Ceará productive structure to supply the necessary inputs to the accomplishment of its productive process. Besides, the possible dependence of imported inputs can be harmful to the expansion of the agrolivestock, case the competitiveness of their products is negatively affected. On the other hand, the same results can represent opportunities of businesses to be profited, through the vertical integration of the production . Therefore, só that the agrolivestock from Ceará contribute to the economical development, is indispensable to reformulate the current agricultural politics, as the intention of turning them more effective.