Análise do comportamento dos preços das principais frutas e hortaliças-fruto comercializados na CEASA-CE

Abstract

The agriculture, especially the fruit growing sector, possesses great importance in Ceará economy and to the Nordeste as a whole, pointing to the need to know the characteristics related to the marketing of fruit as well as studies on the behavior of prices of these products. The knowledge of seasonality pattern and trend the prices the products originating from this sector, has great importance in the context of agricultural planning. So, this work had as objective analyze the behavior the prices of the main fruits and vegetables-fruits marketed in the CEASA-CE. For this, filtered itself the cultures tendered in the CEASA-CE, Headquarters Maracanaú, originating in the State of Ceará, getting itself, so, the main products produced in the State that are marketed in the Headquarters quoted. There was obtained price history for the period of 2002 to 2014 of each culture analyzed, proceeding itself the deflation of these values based on the IGP-DI calculated by FGV, base of december of 2014. Utilized itself the method of centralized moving average to identify the seasonal indices of cultures. Proceeded itself, then, the analysis monthly trend of price history analized. All cultures presented seasonal pattern of price variation and the cultures of tomato, watermelon, pepper, Japanese melon and lemon presented downward trend of price.