O uso do software crystal ball no orçamento empresarial: projeção e análise do faturamento

Abstract

Companies use the Budget Planning as a tool to improve their results, assisting them in making decisions in order to remain competitive in the market in which they operate. Because these are projections of future results it is necessary that the budget planning process be reliable and take into account the risk involved, being defined risk as the probability of occurrence of an unexpected situation, may be of negative or positive effect. This work tries to demonstrate how the use of computational software can aid in risk management within the budget process. The main objective consists in verifying through a practical example if Crystal Ball software is effective in projection of billing values, using as a quantitative risk analysis method the Monte Carlo simulation. Through the results obtained, it was observed that the use of the software is of great value for the correct determination of the budgeted values and expected billing targets.