Planejamento estratégico para segurança hídrica urbana: uma proposta integrada para o município de Crateús/CE

Abstract

Urban water security is a critical challenge in Brazil’s semi-arid regions, especially in cities like Crateús (CE), where water scarcity is intensified by structural failures, institutional fragilities, and extreme weather events. This article proposes an integrated strategic planning approach based on technical and institutional risk mapping, stakeholder analysis, and the PDCA cycle, supported by artificial intelligence (AI). The methodology included diagnostics of critical events, stakeholder interviews, surveys, and participatory validation, resulting in a spatialized risk map. Key technical vulnerabilities identified were dependence on a single water source, outdated infrastructure, and water loss rates exceeding 42%. Institutional weaknesses included a lack of contingency protocols, fragmented governance, and conflicts over water use. Stakeholder mapping highlighted the central role of CAGECE, COGERH, and the municipal government in local governance. The PDCA cycle enabled the formulation of measurable goals, performance indicators, and corrective actions, monitored through audits and continuous revision. The final product was a replicable municipal water security plan, structured in five thematic modules and supported by an AI tool capable of processing reports, simulating scenarios, and prioritizing investments. The results demonstrate that combining data, process management, social participation, and technology offers a viable and effective path to strengthening water security in medium-sized municipalities.