A influência dos principais determinantes e da governança sobre o desmatamento na Amazônia Legal brasileira: uma abordagem por painel (2003-2020)

Abstract

In recent times there have been significant changes in the Amazon that have caused the species to extend the areas of remaining forests. In this context, the present research aimed to verify the influence of the main determinant factors and government measures in the fight against deforestation in the municipalities of the Legal Amazon in the period from 2003 to 2020. For this, the balanced panel model - Random Effect (EA) is estimated. The main results indicate that the majority of the municipalities have up to 10% of their areas deforested. Concerning the empirical results, it was reported that the expansion of the economy, the livestock area, the bovine population and the population are significant factors for the increase in deforestation. It was also found that the municipalities in the state of Pará had a similar deforestation higher than all the municipal seats of the Amazon states, with the exception of the state of Rondônia. In addition, it was noted that it was during President Bolsonaro’s administration that the greatest increases in deforestation took place.