Análise do desempenho do PIB dos estados nordestinos e sua relação com as transferências federais e receitas próprias

Abstract

The economic dependence of the northeastern states of the resources of the central entity in the Federal Republic of Brazil still dominates the economic situation of the public sector today. However, with more aggressive policies in respect to the economy, especially during 1990 and 2000 shows that gradually, own resources, derived from the collection of taxes, provide a less dependence on constitutional transfers to these states. This situation can be proven observers described the increase own revenues of the past years. Based on this assumption that the objective is to study the present relationship of the independent constitutional transfers and own revenues with the dependent variable growth rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the nine states of the federation located in northeastern Brazil from 1988 to 2008. The methodology for this test is used as a mechanism econometric model, and a literature review. From the roll of the dice was taken as a result of a relationship with a positive sign and statistical significance of the variable "own revenue" with the phenomenon studied. Another important conclusion is that the predictor variable "constitutional transfers", despite a positive sign, did not represent statistical significance.