Análise e previsão de demanda como ferramenta para o planejamento de necessidade de materiais: estudo de caso em uma empresa do setor calçadista.

Abstract

The study addresses the concept, application and calculation of tools implemented by the production planning and control sector, responsible for assisting in the management of the production process, in a company that operates in the footwear market. The knowledge obtained came from a bibliographic review, along with a database provided by the company. The demand forecasting tool allows companies to plan their market scenarios, which can be productive, personal and financial, allowing the visualization of the behavior of their demand curve. This tool serves as the basis for the Material Requirements Planning (MRP) method, also known as material requirements planning, precisely aiming at reducing the stocks related to inputs and outputs, finished products and purchase of raw materials, ensuring that the company meet your delivery deadlines. The results showed that the applied demand forecasting technique best suited to the company's reality was the moving average for an average period of every 8 weeks during the year, as well as the application of the MRP tool that was performed in a more general scope. a representative model of higher demand among customers, based on an average demand of 15,000 pairs per week. For the study initially a bibliographic review of the subjects was performed, soon the data provided by the company was collected and with this data was performed an analysis and treatment, thus being possible to apply the tools to obtain the best result and achieving the work objectives from work.