Programa Bolsa Família: análise sobre o mercado de trabalho secundário e a geração “nem-nem” nas áreas urbanas e rurais do Brasil

Abstract

This dissertation sought to verify the effects of the Bolsa Familia Program on the Brazilian Secondary Labor Market and the decision making process of the Young people between 16 and 17 years old. Thus, in order to meet the first objective, it will be investigated whether the beneficiaries of the program seek a second occupation due to the decrease in the job offer, due to the conditionality related to school attendance, since there may be a substitution effect, that is, a negative impact in family income. For the second, it will be analyzed the probability of the young people belonging to families that receive the expansion of the program, the Benefit Linked to the Youth, are studying and / or in the labor market or none of these categories. For that, the data of the Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios Contínua (PNAD Continuous) of the year 2016 and an econometric model, Probit Bivariate were used, and also the marginal effects were analyzed. The results show that the main job income causes an impact close to zero the probability of the worker receiving the family grant and having a second job, but having a formal job decreases the chances of receiving the family grant and look for a second job. Individuals who have incomplete seniors, increase the chances of receiving the family grant and take a second job while those who have complete fundamental decrease. On the average, workers who have a second job are mostly in the rural area, also showing higher incomes per capita. The results also indicate that families benefited by the PBF cause an increase in the young being "nem-nem", that is, it causes a "disincentive effect" in the young. Householders with higher schooling increase the chances of rural youth not studying or working, while the odds for urban youth are slipping. On the average, rural youth families have fewer formal jobs, but are the most benefited by the PBF and have higher incomes per capita.