Um estudo de indicadores demográficos para o estado do Ceará: 1980 a 2030

Abstract

The Demographic Transition is characterized by changes in the levels of fertility and mortality rates, and this process in Brazil, has caused a shortening of the base of the age pyramid and, consequently, the increase of population aging index. Therefore, it's important to analyze how is the demographic transition specifically to the state of Ceará, so that public policies can be made oriented to a future scenario of Ceará population. For such, this study aims to present demographic data regarding the population of Ceará's state, contextualizing the population evolution of the region over the past few years, together with the development of the Northeast and of Brazil. In addition to the information of the last decades, the population projections data will be analyzed. Hence, this study gathers information that allow an analysis of how developed each demographic indicator over time, beyond the likely future behavior of these indicators and, thus aims to discuss the changes that are happening in Ceará population based on age indices structure and aging, fertility and mortality compared with the northeastern and Brazilian populations. For this analysis, demographic indicators were made from the Demographic Census for the years 1980, 1991, 2000 and 2010 and population projections for the years 2020 and 2030, both carried out by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics. The study of the above mentioned indicators makes it evident the demographic transformation of Ceará population and the current profile characteristics corresponding to a demographic bonus period , requiring greater attention to this temporary stage in front of an aging population.