Análise da relação entre a mortalidade empresarial e os fatores macroeconômicos no Brasil

Abstract

The business mortality correlates with a number of variables, and their macroeconomic conditioning factors were analyzed in this study. The main objective was to verify the relationship between the business mortality and these factors through statistical procedure of simple and multiple regression. First, the corporate mortality rates data was presented, and then the information was regressed with the macroeconomic data of GDP, inflation and interest rates in Brazil. In the case of inflation, there was data mismatching of a year, for a more accurate analysis. The work leads to a conclusion that there is significant correlation, mainly of interests, with business mortality data, at least in the short-term analysis. The other variables, in spite of little significance for the scarce periods under review, showed a logical trend relationship through its slope.