Política educacional e seus efeitos na trajetória de crescimento da economia brasileira - um enfoque em equilíbrio geral

Abstract

It is intended with this paper to analyze the impacts in the grewth rates of the Brazilian economy, due to the educational policies adopted in the country in the last decade and to compare them with those coming frorn three different sceneries resulting frorn different performances of those policies. The sceneries were built considering the performance of the respective policies for the next five years, with a yearly reduction of 10% in the inefficiency indexes, defined in this work. in the first scenery, the performance was on the index related to the class of people with less than a year of instruction; in the second, on the index regarding the class of people with four years of instruction and in the third scenery, on the index related to the class of people between nine and eleven years of instruction. Among the established sceneries, only the first one responded in a more efficient way, when compared with the current reality, highlighting the superiority of the educational policies acting on the combat to the illiteracy, when compared with the other policies analyzed. To build the model, it was developed a variant of the endogenous growth economic model with human capital preposed by Lucas (1988), with changes in the functional form of the human capital accumulation seeking a more actual representation of the reality, particularly in developing countries.